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MARCH 2019 HORSES TO FOLLOW
ALL CURRENCIES     (Gary Moore)

7 year old bay mare     (Getaway – Splendid Presence)     0366/13417-4332

Almost three years ago she made her only appearance in an Irish point-to-point and All Currencies won it. The particular skill that she demonstrated was completing the course as only two of her thirteen opponents managed to copy her. Despite that it turned out to be far from a duff race, with the defeated including several subsequent winners, three managing respectable handicap ratings in the 120s and Chosen Rose, winner of all four pointing runs in Britain. All Currencies made a terrible bumper debut at Towcester but next time at Ascot she was only three lengths behind the winner in third. It was not much of a race by the standards of the track concerned but it was an early clue as to where here fussiness would take her – galloping tracks. She showed up less well in bumpers at Uttoxeter and Warwick but made a sterling effort in a winning hurdles debut at Worcester before third place in listed company at Newbury. All Currencies failed to handle Taunton, won back at Newbury and has carried on in the same denomination since. There has been a slight tease in chases as her last two runs were a five lengths third at Uttoxeter and a length and a half second at Plumpton, but the latter is deceptive as only one of her two opponents finished and that one was almost brought down two out. When she goes to a galloping track for a chase, we can all be coining it in. It would not need to necessarily be a handicap either. All of her wins have been in mares only races.

Hurdles or chases on a galloping track
All Currencies at Plumpton, having been in the sun when pointing the camera but somehow in deep shadow when the photo was taken. She may have mystical powers.

EDABEAN     (Giles Smyly)

5 year old bay mare     (Arcadio – Victorian Lady)     PUP665P

This is the horse that missed out narrowly on the cut for February and thankfully the hoped for moment when it all comes right for her did not occur in the last four weeks. Firstly it is necessary to look at the negatives for Edabean. One is that her yard has gone more than seventy runners without a winner, which, thanks to the small number of horses fielded, means three years of drought. Secondly, as she demonstrated by failing to complete in three bumpers, she is (or hopefully “was”) nutty as a fruitcake. Total lack of steerability led to her pulling up on debut and with a hood added she was just about to spring a massive upset (first or second place guaranteed) next time when she ducked and flung Dave Crosse to the deck as the winning post loomed. Next time she pulled up lame. With Edabean bringing this supremely hazardous history to the game, it was no surprise that she was a tailed off last on hurdle debut, but next time at Hereford she dropped in a fairly sensible display of front running before gently drifting out of the places – well seen off but ahead of plenty of horses. Last time she was only beaten ten lengths at Ludlow, when dropping in distance to two miles. The form to date could bring us to think that Edabean needs a right-handed, easy, level course, but the selection is based on requiring her to be a reformed character, which could easily overrule that. Just stick with her in handicap hurdles, especially ones for mares only. *** STOP PRESS: Ran in the last hurdle race of February, after this paragraph (especially sentence one) had already been assembled - she pulled up but there was an inexplicable clump of in form horses against her ***

Mares’ handicap hurdles, rated up to 125

LAMANVER ODYSSEY     (Jack Barber)

7 year old bay mare     (Lucarno – Lamanver Homerun)     31/38120/1FP22P-450

It does appear as if one deceptive bumper effort has caused Lamanver Odyssey (who is not the sequel to Spinal Tap’s “Jazz Odyssey”) and her connections a lot of wasted effort in the subsequent two and three-quarter seasons. The opening shot was a third at Warwick, followed by a win at Taunton. From what we now know, she would probably have won on her debut had it been at certain other places. Her career record on right-handed courses is 112125. Whereas her career on left-handed ones is 3380FP2P40. That does rather look like a no-brainer as regards to selecting future targets, although when a horse has an established handicap rating it is often not easy to find a suitable race at an ideal course exactly when the horse needs it to happen. It is still odd that since Lamanver Odyssey moved to her current trainer, the third in all, two out of three runs have been anti-clockwise. In the interest of a balanced view, her second place going that way round did see her pass the post first but get disqualified for interfering with The Delray Munky. Make your own bad taste joke on that one – it is a penalty kick. Having started racing at a young age, it is presumed that if Lamanver Odyssey had an aptitude for chasing she would have tried by now and as an owner-bred horse a certain degree of over protectiveness is potentially at play. Chases are included in the conditions because you never know what ideas may crop up, and she could find a soft one or two for mares only.

Races on a right-handed track

REALLYRADICAL     (Chris Gordon)

6 year old bay gelding      (Insatiable – Glenogra Cailin)      43

In a complete defiance of his name Reallyradical opened up his racing career by contesting Irish point-to-points. What a sell out. There were five races attempted and none actually won, but he had a third and two seconds, spoiling the record with a pulled up and a fall in the middle. In the completions in particular there were no shortages of subsequent winners in front of him and behind, and decent placed runs by his opponents are also encouragingly common. The British debut was in January 2019 and Reallyradical ended up seven lengths fourth in a 2m 4.5f novices’ hurdle at Plumpton. Winner Debestyman had not lacked earlier encouragement and second placed Manning Estate was finishing runner-up for the second time. In contrast third placed Coastal Drift ran a poor race when rated 116 for his handicap debut and those ending up behind Reallyradical tended to lose by even further next time. He suffered the same hit himself at Plumpton in late February, but the drop down to two miles on good ground seemed to be an unhelpful circumstance. In front of him was a Nicky Henderson newcomer and a good yardstick in The Flying Sofa, who was only four lengths in front and sports a rating of 126. Reallyradical could now make an early switch into handicaps and the fact that he did not see out the longer race so well is probably not indicative of a stamina shortcomings.

Handicap hurdles over 2m 2f or more, rated up to 125
Reallyradical seems a bit smug and complacent before this Plumpton run but he almost justified it

ROSY WORLD     (Suzy Smith)

6 year old bay mare     (Shirocco – Material World)     231-636

Being the first offspring of her popular dam to win a race has heaped pressure on Rosy World, although her hurdles failings so far can be blamed mostly on uncooperatively talented opposition, or horses that chose to peak on the day that they raced against her. The talent shown in bumpers indicates that she ought to be viewing the world through rose tinted spectacles at some stage, hopefully one sooner rather than later. The first bumper was a head second to Buildmeupbuttercup at Ascot, the next a reasonable third at Taunton and the win came at the third attempt having gone to Uttoxeter for the opportunity. Rosy World made an indifferent first attempt at hurdles in early December but her gang were out of form at the time. The race has only worked out to be OKish, but fourth placed Duc De Beauchene managed to win a handicap from a rating of 113 next time and he was only four lengths ahead of Rosy World on the day. Some would allege that he was not being asked for 100% effort in that meeting. This mare improved in her next race, ending up third to Umndeni and Birds Of Prey, although the winner and fourth place Grange Ranger have not upheld the apparent strength of the race since. Her latest sighting was a Grade 2 mares’ hurdle at Sandown, which proved to be a wild goose chase, even though the other five runners all were only rated between 120 and 129 and thus she might have improved a bit to allow her to get more involved. She has been initially rated 109, which is a little less than she could have suffered from the third place but more than the other two runs merit. Rosy World can grow into it when tackling longer races. There have been no runs on good going and her bumpers were on really testing conditions in early 2018 which might develop into a preference for hurdles but is not conclusive evidence yet.

Handicap hurdles over 2m 6f or more, rated up to 125
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Rosy World skips gently to the start line in the bright, erm, January sunshine

SHADY GLEN     (Graeme McPherson)

10 year old brown gelding     (Dr Massini – Poppins)     P7/66732/P3544FF/P142123/4231224431-13P67655P

A horse that provides us with a nice array of numbers and letters to get into stuck into, he has evolved into a summer horse but makes an early start in that role, so with a gently warm spring on the cards, Shady Glen and shady glens could be in demand from an early stage. The pattern within this plentiful sample is for races that happened 15 to 20 days since his last appearance to be the focus of attention. When looking solely at handicaps (Shady Glen was hiding his light under a bushel when a novice hurdler) the results read 23F121314313. Those results produce a level stake profit of 13.33 points. The fall came too early to tell how the race would have panned out and the fourth was a loss of only six lengths. A long established principle is that Shady Glen is seen in better light on a sharp track but with the first win of those in the nominated timeframe being at Worcester, a sharp bend bias is not included in the conditions as he is capable of pulling a rabbit out of the hat at decent odds. Ditto for preferring good to soft or good ground – at the time of year he runs it would be expected and if hitting soft, Shady Glen could adapt to it better than likely opponents. Since a wind operation early last autumn he has not flourished, but there have been no races in the specified circumstances.

Handicap chases with between fifteen and twenty days since the last run
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